World Club Challenge. SKY game. Sunday. 6.30 PM

[The Real Moaner]

Team news and analysis to follow. One to get in the diary though.

[The Real Moaner]

So, every year for the past 10(?), the Australian champions travel over to England to contest the World Club Challenge. This game is played during the English season but before the Aussies kick off and so England have an advantage which is further aided by the fact that the Aussies have in the past not treated the comp. with respect.

That said, last year Manly came over, treated it appropriately and ran away with the game in the first half. There is no doubt that the Aussies are the superior team although Leeds' bad run is irreleant as regular readers of my spiel will know.

When the markets were first formed, both teams were level. Melbourne are now at 1.7. So the value is with Leeds?

Wrong!

This game all depends upon the commitment from the Aussies and that will take 20 mins to judge. By then, the juicy prices will be gone but you should still be able to profit. Adding to this fact is that this game usually attracts good liquidity. This makes draw trading a very attractive proposition. (High profile games usually see the draw pushed out as money buyers emerge.)

Last year, the Aussies started at 1.6 after similarly starting at around evens when the market first opened. Will the price drop that far? I don't know - but I hope so!

[The Real Moaner]

Melbourne into 1.63. Why did I lay off at 1.7!!!

Anyway, I love the draw but it's too short. Money buyers should send it up past 30 before kick off. At least I hope so, but in a 1.6 game, the draw has no business being below 30. Really, it should be 40+ but there seems to be more draw backers these days... why?

[The Real Moaner]

Draw on drift.

[The Real Moaner]

Draw now sticking at 30.

Happy enough to leave a huge red on that price at the moment. Odds are way too low.

[Firkinelle]

Really, it should be 40+ but there seems to be more draw backers these days... why?

You must have a big following on you blog

[Firkinelle]

Melbourne below 1.60 now

[Firkinelle]

TV seems to think it might be close. Draws come in a touch as well.

[The Real Moaner]

DrHoly shit this market is insane.

So much money has sent me confused!

Draw was 19 pre match. Then 32 after 60 seconds!

[The Real Moaner]

Why can't all games be like this?

Sat on £50. Could have been way more but never seen anything like this and the market is pure insane. From 19 to 34 to 26 to 30 to 25!

[The Real Moaner]

1.35 to 1.6 in one set of six?

Hello? Logc?

I'm thinking of just going to watch this. I can't understand the market and have no strong opinion on the game yet.

[The Real Moaner]

Right - I'm a trader but I'm calling a Leeds win here.

[The Real Moaner]

Geez I hate that call.

[Firkinelle]

Seems to me melbourne are disrupting Leeds and Leeds may lose their heads - but what do I know

[Firkinelle]

Seems to me melbourne are disrupting Leeds and Leeds may lose their heads - but what do I know

Said that 2 mins before the commentator, I must be learnign