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  1. Replies
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    Cheers geek, much appreciated

    Cheers geek, much appreciated
  2. Replies
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    In his "presentation video" he explains about...

    In his "presentation video" he explains about meeting an old guy from the bookies, went to the pub with him, and was given a secret number that transformed his life so he could win millions!

    Hope...
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    I also received this message. Ban this...

    I also received this message.

    Ban this spammer please, he can't even speak english properly
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    sorry guys, just saw the thread recently...

    sorry guys,

    just saw the thread recently about the same thing, must be going blind in my old age as didnt see it the first time :D
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    In-play changes in overs/unders markets

    Hi guys,

    Been MIA for a very long time, finally just getting back to using the Geek :) Glad to see the forum is still going strong.

    So, to my point, I have a question regarding the in-play...
  6. Devomark, I also do the same thing, but just want...

    Devomark, I also do the same thing, but just want to compare my "true odds" values I am getting to what the bookies actually consider the true odds to be, so just trying to reengineer their odds...
  7. ha ha, that's because I am the same person :D

    ha ha, that's because I am the same person :D
  8. Thanks very much for that reply devomark. I...

    Thanks very much for that reply devomark.

    I guess what I want to know is whether the odds are skewed by the bookmaker to either side.

    I.e over/under 1.5 is say 1.25 and 4.25 respectively....
  9. Bookmaker over-rounds for over/unders markets

    Hi guys,

    Does anybody have an idea of the approximate % over-round bookmakers work off for their overs/unders markets.

    Someone suggested to me it is about 10%, could anyone confirm this?
    ...
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    Confused about dead heat

    I placed a back bet for £50 on a horse after a race had finished, as there was a stewards enquiry into the winner, hence the betfair markets stay open right when they cannot be sure of the winner.
    ...
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    Yeah I was just wanting to know how the odds...

    Yeah I was just wanting to know how the odds compilers come about determining average goals in a game.

    I guess nobody here knows an odds compiler, or wants to share that info :(
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    I am just trying to figure out the method used to...

    I am just trying to figure out the method used to generate the "average" number of goals expected in a game, thats all.

    I don't have any examples to provide, as I don't know how to calculate it...
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    I understand your method, but I would think the...

    I understand your method, but I would think the bookmakers use more sophisticated methods than that. Seems too simple to me.

    In this example it works quite well, but how about when you have a...
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    Odds compiler info for over 1.5 goals

    I was wondering if anybody knew of the approximate method used by odds compilers to generate their odds for over/under 1.5 goals?

    My estimate was this:

    1.Check the average number of goals for...
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    Ah good, glad it's not only me! I think you...

    Ah good, glad it's not only me!

    I think you are right, about the system remembering what was there before the scroll.

    I have to click about 4 or 5 times before I get the right one!
    ...
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    Petty problem

    You may think I am being petty, but was just wondering if any of you experience the same small annoying problem as I do.

    Say I am looking at a football market, and I open up the market, I go to...
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    Thank you very much for that response CrazyJoe,...

    Thank you very much for that response CrazyJoe, will definitely look into it.

    Very much appreciated!
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    @ TheMan73 - Purely football sir, with most bets...

    @ TheMan73 - Purely football sir, with most bets being placed pre-match, and others in-play, some with a combination of both, depends on which strategy I am using.


    @ eggman - I understand...
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    If it helps inspire you, I have been trading...

    If it helps inspire you,

    I have been trading for only about 4 months now, and have cracked it.

    People say it takes 3 years+ to become an experienced trader who can make consistent profits,...
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    Ron, Thank you very much for those links,...

    Ron,

    Thank you very much for those links, much appreciated!
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    Thanks for the reply Ted. That is exactly...

    Thanks for the reply Ted.

    That is exactly what I do, I work out the probabilities using stats to determine whether a value bet exists.

    Was just wondering if anybody thought there are some...
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    Thanks for your reply. Yeah, I am aware of...

    Thanks for your reply.

    Yeah, I am aware of the external factors that affect races, however, I was just trying to create a ball-park figure from the handicap ratings, which I could then alter as I...
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    Turning handicaps into odds

    I recently subscribed to a handicapping service, to hopefully gain a greater insight into the likelihood of winners of horse races.

    I would just like to know, does anybody know of any methods...
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    Assessing over/unders bets

    I would just like to open a discussion on what data you use to analyse whether to take a bet or not with the over/under football goal markets.

    For me personally, I look at the following details: ...
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    Thank you very much for all the helpful replies...

    Thank you very much for all the helpful replies guys.

    CHDmon, i tried that link, but wouldnt work for some reason.

    I guess what I am really looking for, is quite difficult to find.

    I want...
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