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Saints v Leeds

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  • Saints v Leeds

    It's been a while since I posted on here (Been way too busy!) but tonight's game should hopefully be a cracker.

    This has been the Grand Final for the past three years and the liquidity appears good with almost £50,000 matched already.

    I'm a Saints fan at heart and always struggle calling their games due to personal feelings - but I really can't see anything other than a comprehensive Leeds win.

    Let's look at the Saints' squad.

    Wellens, Gardner, Meli, Pryce, Eastmond, Fozzard, Cunningham, Graham, Puletua, Flannery, Roby, Hargreaves, Moore, Clough, Ashurst, Wheeler, Dixon, Fa'asavalu, Foster.

    What leaps off the page is the loss of Wilkin - Saints' most intelligent player. That's a massive loss in a game like this. Matt Gidley is also a huge loss. Leon Pryce is also a huge doubt and Saints haven't managed to use their 3 hookers well this year. Francis Meli is also a big doubt - but he gifted Leeds the GF last year so I'm not too concerned!

    Add in a very dour and uncreative coach in Mick Potter and I'm not convinced by Saints.

    Possible line up:

    Wellens (First Game back), Gardner, Wheeler, Flannery, Foster, Moore, Eastmond, Graham, Cunningham, Hargreaves, Pulutea, Clough, Ashurst. Bench: Roby, Dixon, Fa'asavalu, Fozzard.

    Meanwhile Leeds have really hit their form recently and are starting to look like the championship outfit they have been for the past few years.

    Possible line up:

    Webb, Smith, Delaney, Senior, Hall, McGuire, Burrow, Leuluai, Buderus, Peacock, Jones-Buchanan, Abletti, Sinfield. Bench: Diskin, Bailey, Kirke, Lauititi.

    Always best to wait for the official teams - but that looks like a huge mismatch.

    Odd point: Last night's game was 1.5 favourites and 28 Draw at KO! This is a 2.0 favourites and Draw at 30!

    The draw price has been insane all year - always too low - but 30 looks high (Although low compared to last year.) Probably a byproduct of the ridiculously poor liquidity this year - Often I've had prices up on all 6 possible options! But hopefully that will improve. (Tho I doubt it, sadly.)

  • #2

    (1) Paul Wellens FULL BACK Lee Smith (28)
    (2) Ade Gardner WINGER Ryan Hall (5)
    (21) Gary Wheeler CENTRE Brett Delaney (3)
    (13) Chris Flannery CENTRE Keith Senior (4)
    (30) Jamie Foster WINGER Tom Bush (26)
    (16) Scott Moore STAND OFF Danny McGuire (6)
    (7) Kyle Eastmond SCRUM HALF Rob Burrow (7)
    (10) James Graham PROP Kylie Leuluai (8)
    (9) Keiron Cunningham HOOKER Matt Diskin (14)
    (15) Bryn Hargreaves PROP Ryan Bailey (16)
    (17) Paul Clough SECOND ROW Jamie Jones-Buchanan (11)
    (22) Andrew Dixon SECOND ROW Ian Kirke (17)
    (11) Tony Puletua LOOSE FORWARD Kevin Sinfield (13)

    (8) Nick Fozzard SUBS Danny Buderus (9)
    (14) James Roby Jamie Peacock (10)
    (18) Matty Ashurst Luke Burgess (19)
    (23) Maurie Fa'asavalu Luke Ambler (24)

    So Saints are without the four doubts - but Leeds are also without Ablett, Webb and Lauititi.


    • #3
      You think of Saints and you think of Sean Long, Tommy Martyn, Paul Sculthorpe etc...

      All players who had a touch of greatness and could create something from nothing.

      That Saints side however is mainly madeup of solid pro's. Eastmond can create something through physical ability but that's it really.

      Maybe my negativity as a Saints fan is shining through, but the only class act in that team is Gary Wheeler - and he's stuck in the centres.

      Meanwhile Leeds have the creativity of Burrow, McGuire and Sinfield with the incision of Hall and Smith out wide.

      That said - wait and watch. If liquidity is decent (which is doubtful) the opportunities will present themselves in play.


      • #4
        Hi Craig, good see you posting again. :Brilliant
        When I die and they lay me to rest,
        I'm gonna get pissed with Georgie Best


        • #5
          I'm going in big on the draw.

          It's not great value - but games this year have been 1.3 / 20 after 10 mins!

          So a 2.0 game should be 15 after 10 mins!


          • #6
            Leeds try early doors
            When I die and they lay me to rest,
            I'm gonna get pissed with Georgie Best


            • #7
              Liquidity is abject.

              Who the heck put up a back of Saints at 2.06 when 6-0 down?

              Took it and then got matched at 2.9 for £100 to get rid of my red on the teams and leave 1k on the draw.


              • #8
                I'm just trading the draw between 30 and 25
                When I die and they lay me to rest,
                I'm gonna get pissed with Georgie Best


                • #9
                  For small amounts I might add
                  When I die and they lay me to rest,
                  I'm gonna get pissed with Georgie Best


                  • #10
                    What do you reckon now it's 12-6 Craig?
                    When I die and they lay me to rest,
                    I'm gonna get pissed with Georgie Best


                    • #11
                      Crazy - Saints score a penalty to go 14-6 and the draw price drops !!
                      When I die and they lay me to rest,
                      I'm gonna get pissed with Georgie Best


                      • #12
                        I've wanted to fight the Leeds price all the way down.

                        Thing is, a 3 score lead is big now.

                        However, Saints are massively underpriced. They've played well but Leeds are by far the better team and I imagine they will get the chance to show that in the second half.