Super League. Round 1. Non Televised games.

[The Real Moaner]

With the football and 6 nations on liquidity was woeful.

Should improve as the summer goes on and even now, monitoring the markets can be decent. (1.1 was up on Wire til 16-0 and 1.1 lay in first half at 12 - 6 is always a good idea.)

But if you have something better to do...

[Firkinelle]

Wakefield came back from 16 - 10 down to win 28 - 20.

I ended up down on the afternoon after my 1.1 lay of Hull KR didn't come off.

I tried to lay Hull but nobody wanted it.

[The Real Moaner]

Wakefield came back from 16 - 10 down to win 28 - 20.

I ended up down on the afternoon after my 1.1 lay of Hull KR didn't come off.

[The Real Moaner]

Warrington won 58 - 0.
Hull KR won 30 - 12.

[The Real Moaner]

Hull KR lead 18 - 6 but I've just had a 1.1 lay accepted which I'm happy with.

[The Real Moaner]

Catalans v Wakefield


(18) Aaron Murphy FULL BACK Chris Walker (23)
(23) Dale Morton WINGER Steven Bell (2)
(3) Sean Gleeson CENTRE Setaimata Sa (4)
(4) Daryl Millard CENTRE Jean Philippe Baile (15)
(5) Luke George WINGER Dimitri Pelo (5)
(6) Ben Jeffries STAND OFF Adam Mogg (6)
(7) Danny Brough SCRUM HALF Casey McGuire (9)
(8) Shane Tronc PROP David Ferriol (8)
(20) Tevita Leo-Latu HOOKER Gregory Mounis (12)
(10) Michael Korkidas PROP Jerome Guisset (10)
(11) Dale Ferguson SECOND ROW Olivier Elima (11)
(12) Glenn Morrison SECOND ROW Cyrille Gossard (17)
(13) Jason Demetriou LOOSE FORWARD Dallas Johnson (13)

(14) Sam Obst SUBS Sebastien Raguin (3)
(16) Paul Johnson Kane Bentley (20)
(19) Paul King Sebastien Martins (21)
(17) Kevin Henderson Remi Casty (24)

I would be concerned that Wakefield may not have the size to match up with Catalans, but I'm equally unsure whether Catalans have the nous to live with Wakefield. All things considered, there is some value with Catalans at 2/1.

[The Real Moaner]

Both favs have opened the scoring with a try.

There's a huge amount available to back Wire. If they get the next try and it is still there, I would advocate backing it.

[The Real Moaner]

If it is anything like last year, then the Sunday games can occasionally have some liquidity which I usually get involved at. (It tends to be some favourable odds) which, due to my trading tendencies, I then try to re-sell at slightly below market value to avoid any losses.

Hopefully going to not offer below value this year but I have started doing it, so if I do, I'll let people on here know but bear in my mind that what I offer will probably constitute a bet as you won't be able to get out.

[Firkinelle]

Think I'll give them a miss as I don't know what I'm doing. It's not too bad when there is liquidity.

[The Real Moaner]

Radio links to this afternoon's matches. http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/rugb...ue/7874583.stm

[The Real Moaner]

Team news - Warrington v Harlequins

(1) Richie Mathers FULL BACK Jamie O'Callaghan (22)
(2) Chris Riley WINGER Chris Melling (1)
(4) Chris Bridge CENTRE Tony Clubb (3)
(23) Ryan Atkins CENTRE David Howell (4)
(3) Matt King WINGER Will Sharp (5)
(6) Lee Briers STAND OFF Danny Orr (7)
(7) Richie Myler SCRUM HALF Luke Gale (21)
(8) Adrian Morley PROP David Williams (24)
(9) Michael Monaghan HOOKER Chad Randall (9)
(10) Garreth Carvell PROP Oliver Wilkes (14)
(11) Louis Anderson SECOND ROW Luke Williamson (11)
(12) Ben Westwood SECOND ROW Ryan Esders (18)
(13) Ben Harrison LOOSE FORWARD Jason Golden (16)

(14) Mickey Higham SUBS Ben Kaye (15)
(16) Paul Wood Matt James (19)
(17) Simon Grix Lamont Bryan (25)
(26) David Solomona Ben Bolger (28)

These teams look a complete mismatch. Quins look very weak whilst Wire look very strong. I always advocate laying 1.1s, but I'm struggling to find good value here. Will put some green on Quins, but probably less than 1 point.

FYI - I was lucky enough to get the draw backed at ridiculous odds this morning. I'm offering it back at 50 if anyone is interested. Bear in mind that there is practically no trade out possibilities in play, but I would say that 50 is a fair price. I've just backed at a much more generous price and do not want to overstake.

[The Real Moaner]

Team news - Salford v Hull KR

(1) Shaun Briscoe FULL BACK Karl Fitzpatrick (1)
(2) Peter Fox WINGER Jodie Broughton (2)
(3) Kris Welham CENTRE Ashley Gibson (5)
(28) Ben Cockayne CENTRE Steve Tyrer (20)
(5) Liam Colbon WINGER Dean McGilvray (24)
(4) Jake Webster STAND OFF Stefan Ratchford (6)
(7) Michael Dobson SCRUM HALF Matty Smith (14)
(8) Rhys Lovegrove PROP Ray Cashmere (8)
(9) Scott Murrell HOOKER Malcolm Alker (9)
(10) Scott Wheeldon PROP Robert Parker (10)
(11) Clint Newton SECOND ROW Luke Adamson (12)
(14) Matt Cook SECOND ROW Luke Swain (13)
(6) Paul Cooke LOOSE FORWARD Daniel Holdsworth (21)

(20) Mick Vella SUBS Jeremy Smith (7)
(22) Liam Watts Ian Sibbit (11)
(17) Ben Fisher Phillip Leuluai (16)
(16) Jason Netherton Ryan Boyle (19)

First time I can remember in a long time that we have two entirely English three quarter lines! KR's team on paper does look superior but we shall see. I had expected Salford to be backable at 6. At 5 - 5.5, they are probably worth 1 point.

[The Real Moaner]

I think they'd be a shoe in even without it. ;-)

People seem to be starting off 2010 with reference to reputation. Leeds, Saints and Bradford were all underpriced. Warrington's previous inconsistency renders them being overpriced.

Still, you cannot buy money in RL (the Leeds v Celtic game confirms that) so I will look to have some green on Quins, like I did on Celtic v Wigan.

[smudger78]

Rather interesting that in the two "big favourite" games, the favourite is being pushed out so that the underdog is an equivalent price to back as at the best bookmakers price.

Presume this is someone reacting to the overturns we have seen so far. I would never advocate a 1.15 shot, because in RL, I don't think one can ever be safe, but I think Warrington may be overpriced whilst at 1.3 Hull KR are approaching the sphere of the "correct price".

I think warrington are a shie in given Harlequins injury list...

[The Real Moaner]

Rather interesting that in the two "big favourite" games, the favourite is being pushed out so that the underdog is an equivalent price to back as at the best bookmakers price.

Presume this is someone reacting to the overturns we have seen so far. I would never advocate a 1.15 shot, because in RL, I don't think one can ever be safe, but I think Warrington may be overpriced whilst at 1.3 Hull KR are approaching the sphere of the "correct price".