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Thread: Horse Racing in OZ

  1. #561
    Forum Guru Charles49's Avatar
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    Morning all. Another warm day here today as summer continues. Lots of Group racing today with Australia's top horse in Winx running at Randwick where light rain is expected.
    Here are todays selections:

    DOOMBEN:
    R5 no 1 Cyclinder Beach won $4.20

    RANDWICK:
    R1 no 6 Most Exalted
    R5 no 6 Snippets Land Scratched.
    R6 no 1 Global Glamour. 3rd....Omei Sword 2nd is the danger
    R7 no 9 Winx. Won...back Hartnell for the place as its better value than backing the fav.
    R8 no 6 Flippant 3rd

    CAULFIELD:
    R2 no Derryn.3rd...with Benz Won $5 the danger
    R4 no 8 Savanna Amour Won $7 Less deductions for late scr.
    R6 no Humidor...2nd..Tom Melbourne was a big effort last start so each way chance here
    R7 no 13 Tulip
    R8 no 4 Kaepernick ...is a a good chance at around $20.

    LAY BETS:
    Ascot R1 no 1 Tarquin ShadowRan unplaced. Lay bet won
    MR7 no 11 Catchy Won $4.50 Lay bet lost
    Mr9 No 2 Silent Sedition Won $1.95. Lay bet lost
    BR4 no 5 NiccanovaWon $2. Lay bet lost

    BETFAIR BSP Estimate for today is 78.5 Actual is 86.5 so bet is Unders. Unders won

    Cheers n Beers
    Last edited by Charles49; 25th February 2017 at 09:56 PM.

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    Hey Ned

    Long time no see or post, Hows it going?

    Was doing a bit ordinary myself so I decided to come over here and check out your LAY bets, and followed... bugger always next week

    Tony is coming out April i think for more Training courses that he does, he asked about you, I give him your email, I said we should catch up for a beer, but he is only coming up to Lower end of Gold Coast, so see how it goes.

    Looks like a lonely old place in here, see if I can get back to some of the old Saturday Selections

    dags
    Last edited by dags; 25th February 2017 at 08:48 AM. Reason: lol mentioned someones name which got blanked out

  3. #563
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    Hi Dags,

    Great to hear from you again.
    Probably had the worst day yesterday with the lays so wasnt a good time to follow. I do need to look at these as they were a nice earn for a long period however they have been very ordinary in recent times.
    Love to catch up with you for a beer or two anytime. Bronco's maybe??
    Let me know when you are free,
    And yes it is quiet in here so you are most welcome to post your selections on here anytime and give the punters that do visit here a taste of your expertise!!
    Kind regards and best wishes.

  4. #564
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    Morning all. Last weeks Lay bets let us down badly with some unlucky results. Thats racing unfortunately so its onwards and upwards today. There are plenty of black type races today so the quality of racing today should be good. Randwick unfortunately will be a heavy 9 track and thats bound to produce a few rough results if history is anything to go by.
    Lets hope we can find you some palatable results.

    RANDWICK:
    R1 no 4 From Within
    R2 no 4 Invader 2nd
    R3 no 11 Ma Tante
    R4 no 6 Hieroglyphics 2nd
    R5 no 5 Japonisme
    R7 no 5 Comin Through.3rd....have a saver on Man From Uncle
    R8 no 5 Tsaritsa
    R9 no 2 Kinema4th

    FLEMINGTON:
    R2 no 2 Heatherly Won
    R4 no 2 Jerilderie Letter
    R6 no 4 Charlie Boy ...each way at odds (currently $14)
    R8 no 4 De Little Engine 4th

    EAGLE FARM:
    R3 no 1 Houtzen Won
    R8 no 4 Bound For Love

    GOLD COAST:
    R1 no 5 Scarlett Hussie...3rd....Danger is Trainers Pocket

    LAY BETS:
    MR3 no 1 Madeenaty Started odds on fav. Ran 2nd. Lay bet won
    R4 no 8 Portman Started short priced fav. Ran 2nd. Lay bet won
    R7 no 4 Hey Doc. Started $3.00 fav. Won. Lay bet lost

    BETFAIR BSP Estimate is 99.5 Actual is 83.5 so bet today is Overs.

    Cheers n Beers
    Last edited by Charles49; 4th March 2017 at 08:14 AM.

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    Last week we placed our faith at Randwick in arguably the worlds best jockey in Joe Moreica to produce some winners for us. The best he could do was a couple of seconds and a third. The following day he returned to Shatin and rode 8 winners on the card.!!
    Plenty of high quality racing in Sydney and Melbourne today with the features being the Group one Newmarket Handicap and the Group one Australian Cup. I'm going to give Joe one more chance today at Flemington as he seems to do reasonably well in Melbourne races.
    Here are todays selections:

    ROSEHILL:
    R2 no 1 Dothraki 2nd
    R5 no 9 Antonio Guiseppi
    R6 no 3 Into Orbit....Foxplay Won is the obvious danger
    R7 no 14 Omei Sword
    R8 no 6 Cylinder Beach......racing well in Brisbane and deserves a chance here. Each way odds around 10/1.

    FLEMINGTON:

    R1 no 9 Cannyescent
    R5 no 2 I Am A Star. Won $2.10
    R6 no 9 Circular Won $3.90
    R7 no 2 Speith
    R8 no 1 Stratum Star
    R9 no 11 Super Fun.

    LAY BETS:
    SR9 no 4 Veladero Ran unplaced. Lay bet won

    BETFAIR BSP estimate is 85.5 Actual is 101.5 so bet today is Unders. Unders won.

    Cheers n Beers
    Last edited by Charles49; 11th March 2017 at 07:46 AM.

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    Hi Ned, sorry missed last week had a kids birthday party on

    Today I like

    Rosehill
    SR1 3 SPECTROSCOPE Won $4.50
    SR5 9 ANTONIO GIUSEPPE 2nd

    Flemington
    MR2 10 HURSLEY 2nd
    MR4 3 ESHTIRAAK
    MR5 2 I AM A STARWon $2.10

    What is that BSP estimate you have posted?
    Last edited by Charles49; 18th March 2017 at 12:48 AM.

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    Morning all. Brisbane is flooded with sunshine and heaps of it whilst poor old Sydney is flooded with water and heaps of that too. Thanks to Dags for posting last saturday...I have only just noticed it so apologies to Dags for not commenting earlier. Hope you enjoyed your kids birthday party.!!
    Very Heavy track at Rosehill today. Its rated a Heavy 9 but no surprise if it gets worse or even if they struggle to complete the meeting. Program is outstanding with plenty of Group and black type racing.
    Dags, the BSP estimate is my early assessment of what the total of the Betfair starting prices will be for the Flemington card. I then compare that with the actual market and bet either Under or Over the market which normally commences at even money. The market is attached to Race 1 at Flemington and you can find it by putting BSP Index into the search box and it will pop up usually after about 9.30am.
    Here are todays selections and a warning that the track at Rosehill will be impossible today so bet cautiously.
    ROSEHILL:
    R4 no 3 Stratum Star
    R5 no 8 Winx Won
    R6 no 2 Gingernuts.Won $7.60.....love the name...New Zealander with a tip top chance here.
    R7 no 9 Catchy. ....won last start from an impossible position.

    FLEMINGTON:
    R2 no 3 Theanswemyfriend Won $2.10
    R4 no 1 Arctic Angel
    R5 no 2 Palentino Won $6.20
    R8 no 9 Zebrinz 3rd

    LAY BETS:
    SR7 no 15 Houtzen Started Fav. Ran unplaced. Lay bet won

    BSP Estimate is 100.5. Actual is 85.5 so bet today is OVERS.


    Cheers n Beers
    Last edited by Charles49; 18th March 2017 at 07:14 AM.

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    Today I like

    Rosehill
    R3 1 TACTICAL ADVANTAGE 3rd
    R4 5 THE UNITED STATES 3rd
    R5 8 WINX Won
    R10 13 POMELO Won $3.40

    Flemington
    R2 3 THEANSWERMYFRIEND Won $2.10
    R5 6 TOSEN STARDOM 2nd

    With all the bookie bonuses at the moment, make sure you play the Money Back for a place specials

    Last week I had 2 wins 2 placed, 1 loss, so would have bee a good day

    Cheers Ned, good Luck, I like that BSP INDEX, is it worth doubling up after a loss each week
    or play the Even money each week and get better than 52% strike rate
    Last edited by Charles49; 18th March 2017 at 08:11 AM.

  9. #569
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    Hi Dags,
    Good advice re the bonuses..they are a nice addition to the kitty. The BSP Index is just a bit of fun for me. I just throw a red lobster on them and let it run. You could run a little system here like the Martingale but it would turn nasty if you had a run of outs.
    I'll have a look at past results but I suspect the number of overs and the number of unders to date are roughly around the same.

    Cheers

  10. #570
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    Morning all. Well we have just moved from a month of 30plus degree hot and sunny weather to a week of rain. Must say its nice to see the lawns all green again and our swimming pool now back to full. Group and black type racing is at Rosehill today where the feature race is the BMW worth a cool AUD $1.5m. Melbourne racing heads off to Mornington today and if past results are any indication it will be a tough day there if you are on the punt. Hope we see Dags back tipping on here again today. He has a very high place percentage and last week his win strike rate was 50% whilst place wise it was 100%.
    Not sure where the Betfair BSP will be today so I'll do the estimate based on the assumption it will be at Mornington.
    ROSEHILL:
    R2 no 2 Impending 3rd
    R3 no 3 Astronomos 2nd
    R4 no 7 Spectroscope Won $3.50
    R5 no 3 Jon Snow Won $3.50
    R6 no 6 Humidor 2nd with a rough place chance to Lasquieti Spirit at odds.

    MORNINGTON:
    R4 no 2 Toga Picta 4th
    R5 no 6 Backstreet Lover 4th
    R7 no 6 Boom Time

    LAY BETS:
    MR 4 no 1 Eshtrraak Won $3.10. Lay bet lost
    R5 no 1 Strike Force Started Fav. ran 2nd. Lay bet Won
    SR5 no 1 Prized Icon Ran 2nd. Lay Bet won

    Betfair BSP Estimate is 80.5 so todays bet at Mornington is UndersUnders won

    Cheers n Beers
    Last edited by Charles49; 26th March 2017 at 05:39 AM.

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    Sorry for the late post, house full of sick kids, me included with some sort of flu.

    Some of these may have already run

    This is what I like

    Rosehill
    R1 3 ASTORIA (already Run) 2ndf
    R3 3 ASTRONOMOS (already Run)
    R4 7 SPECTROSCOPE 2nd
    R5 2 JON SNOW Won $3.50
    R7 2 FOXPLAY

    Mornington
    R2 5 MILES OF KRISHAN (already Run) 2nd
    R4 2 TOGA PICTA 4th
    R7 3 THE GOLD TRAIL4th
    Don't forget to use he bookies that offer cash back for the place
    Last edited by Charles49; 26th March 2017 at 05:42 AM.

  12. #572
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    Morning all. Well we have had our fair share of hot weather and now a darn Cyclone named Debbie has crossed the coast and headed south bringing extreme flooding and considerable damage to properties near the coast between Gladstone and Ayr. Brisbane copped torrential rain and 100klm plus winds so its been an eventful week.
    Plenty of Black Type racing at Randwick today despite the Heavy 8 track rating. No racing in the Melbourne area as racing there shifts out to Bendigo for the day.
    Lets hope we can find some winners for you.

    RANDWICK:
    R2 no 4 Theanswermyfriend 2nd
    R3 no 1 Big Duke Won $2.70
    R5 No 3 Raiment....long shot place chance to Manaya
    R7 no 2 Gingernuts......Yes all the dogs are barking that it cant win this but it does rate top in my ratings.!!
    R8 no 1 Chautaugua...Won $9.....have a liitle specky on Speith which must rate as the unluckiest horse in Australia
    R9 no 2 Le Romain
    R10 no 2 Perfect Rhyme. 2nd

    BENDIGO:
    R7 no 3 Jacquinot Bay 2nd @ 33/1
    R9 no 5 Taddei Tondo

    LAY BETS:
    MR4 no 9 Richard of Yorke Started Fav, Ran 2nd. Lay bet won
    MR7 no 1 Burning Front Started Fav. Ran unplaced. Lay bet won

    BETFAIR BSP estimate today for Bendigo is 88.5 Actual is 89.5 so bet is Unders.

    Cheers n Beers
    Last edited by Charles49; 1st April 2017 at 07:54 AM.

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    Morns Ned Morning Dags....hope you survived the storm ok.!

    Today I like

    Randwick
    R1 9 ALIZEE
    R2 4 THEANSWERMYFRIEND2nd
    R5 3 RAIMENT
    R8 14 RUSSIAN REVOLUTION

    Good luck, remember to Use the bookies that offer money back for place
    Last edited by Charles49; 1st April 2017 at 02:54 AM.

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    Hey Ned

    I was a bit ordinary last weekend .. but you get that I suppose

    I am Away for a boys weekend in Adelaide to see the Speedway Sidecar World Cup, so wont get a chance to post, but will check in to get your winners.

    But for VALUE Ladbrokes (AUS) have WINX $25 max bet @ 2.0 (CAN"T PASS ON THAT)

    Good Luck

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    Morning all and thanks Dags for posting details of Ladbrokes Winx Promo.
    Its Day two of the Championship and it will be run on yet another heavy (8) track. Our best horse in Winx will be out to make it 17 wins in a row. Amazing horse.
    Here are todays selections;

    RANDWICK:
    R1 no 1 Muraahib
    R3 no 6 Almanzora
    R6 no1 Lasqueti Spirit 3rd
    R7 no 9 Winx will win. Won If you must have a bet here try Harlem the place. Its a $126 chance.
    R10 no 6 Zestful.

    CAULFIELD:
    R1 no 1 Plutocracy 2nd
    R2 no 1 Zahspeed 3rd
    R6 no 2 Kens Dream Won $4

    TOOWOOMBA:
    R7 no 1 Cylinder Beach Won $3.50
    R8 no 5 Steel Zip...currently $26.
    R10 no 11 Rhyme Nor Rhythm

    LAY BETS:
    MR7 no 4 French Emotion Race abandoned
    SR10 no 11 Ravi Started Fav. Ran unplaced. Lay bet won


    BETFAIR BSP
    estimate is 98.5 for Caulfield. Actual is 88.5 so bet today is Overs[COLOR="#0000CD"]No Result. Last three races abandoned.

    Cheers n Beers
    Last edited by Charles49; 8th April 2017 at 08:19 AM.

  18. #576
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    Last week was'nt much fun with the abandonment of the last three races at Caulfield and the Feature race at Randwick in the Sydney Cup being declared a no race. Focus remains on Sydney today with the running of two Group One events. The track is a heavy 8 at this stage and there are some suggestions it will go out to a heavy 9 as the overcast conditions are not assisting in the drying process.
    Racing in Adelaide today heads off to the very popular Oakbank venue. Its a picnic style race meeting, lots of fun and known for its long history as a jumps venue where horses race uphill then jump a fallen log, some traditional fences, then race downhill to enter a straight where partygoers cheer then on. Its a unique venue.
    Lets hope we can find some winners for you.
    If I get a chance I'll update results as we go through the program.
    I wish you all a happy and safe Easter and I trust the punting Bunny is good to you this weekend.

    RANDWICK: Track Heavy 8.
    R2 no 4 Cannyescent
    R3 no 1 Acatour
    R4 no 1 Takedown
    R5 no 4 Astronomos
    R6 no 2 The Mission... each way. Won $12
    R7 no 4 Voodoo Lad
    R8 no 9 Smart Amelia 3rd....bottomweight Lilac Lane is worth a tote ticket at 100/1
    R9 no 5 Moher...each way at double figure odds.

    CAULFIELD: Track Good 4
    R6 no 4 De Little Engine 2nd
    R9 no 1 Leebaz...gay deceiver who won this race last year. Currently 50/1. worth a tote ticket.

    DOOMBEN: Track Good 4
    R1 no 2 Toni May 2nd

    LAY BETS:
    MR5 no 16 Artemis Ran unplaced. Lay bet won
    BR7 no 8 Feltre Ran unplaced. Lay bet won
    Mr6 no 3 Hans Holbein Ran 3rd. Lay bet won
    Mr8 no 7 Hellova Street Started Fav. Ran unplaced. Lay bet won
    SR4 no 3 Redzel Won $2.50 Fav. Lay bet lost

    BETFAIR BSP estimate is 123.5 Actual index is 121.5 so bet today is Overs


    Cheers n Beers
    Last edited by Charles49; 15th April 2017 at 07:28 AM.

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    Huge weekend away in Adelaide last weekend need a few winners today

    Today I like

    Randwick
    R3 1 ACATOUR


    Doomben
    R3 1 MAKE MY OWN LUCK
    R4 12 TUMBLER Won $2.50
    R5 10 OUR BEEBEE
    R8 2 RULING FORCEWon $7
    Last edited by Charles49; 15th April 2017 at 07:39 AM.

  20. #578
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    Another outstanding result from Dags yesterday.
    40% win strike rate.
    90% ROI.

    Reckon the big weekend in Adelaide must have done the trick!!
    Congrats Dags on a job well done.

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    Morns Ned

    Yes, had a good weekend last week, lets see how this week goes

    Today I like

    Randwick
    R1 4 DEBONAIRLY 2nd
    R2 3 I THOUGHT SO
    R4 8 RICHARD OF YORKE Won $2.60
    R7 6 NIETA Won $2.80

    Caulfield
    R1 5 SPUR ON GOLD
    R3 1 BURNING FRONT Won
    R6 1 FRENCH EMOTION Won $3.20
    R9 7 KAZIO

    Doomben
    R2 5 COOROI CHASE 2nd
    R3 1 CANDIKA Won $2.30

    Good Luck everyone
    Remember to use a bookie that has a bonus like cash back for place,
    or just Use Betfair http://bit.ly/2cslUH3
    Last edited by Charles49; 23rd April 2017 at 03:05 AM.

  22. #580
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    Sorry Guys couldnt post yesterday as local works on our internet connection caused some angst. Should be back to normal next Saturday. Great to see Dags pick 5 winners yesterday which was a 50% strike rate.
    Well done.

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