Premier League football strategy

[AlienSquare]

Hi guys,

I am happy to share with you the success for bettin in Premier League. This is part of a strategy I am using to calculate team's current form and apply with historical results and old/current bookemaker's odds.

The last round I was able to pin poin 8/10 correct results. I only bet 1X2 with small adjustments.

My stakes multiplied by 2 last round, and during 3-4 rounds I started with 12E and now have 38E. I am confident that this is a long term successful strategy.

I will share my pickings here in advance (if the post if approved, of course).

Best of luck,
AlienSquare

[Firkinelle]

Be good to see a nice long term strategy. Do you bear in mind the number of games played etc ?

[AlienSquare]

Be good to see a nice long term strategy. Do you bear in mind the number of games played etc ?

What do you mean exactly by number of games?

[Firkinelle]

Whether it's the beginning of the season when there's no form to go on or the end of the season when a bottom team has more to play for than a middle of the table team who can't win or lose anything.

[AlienSquare]

Whether it's the beginning of the season when there's no form to go on or the end of the season when a bottom team has more to play for than a middle of the table team who can't win or lose anything.

The position of the teams I consider a bit, now near to the end of the season. But not so much, because if a team is playing bad there is nothing they can do against a team that is playing good football.
Regarding the number of matches, I use last 10 years. From the end of the season till the begining of next, we have a small gap but it does not matter much. Why? Because a team like City, or Arsenal, or Crystal will manage to play "about the same". What I mean, is that the error i think will be small, and system will readjust after first 10 rounds, anyway.
Last round I got 2% profit in average per each game

For the round in premier league, will give 4/10 games predictions:

Southampton Chelsea - 2. Southampton is playing very bad at home, and currently they are in a low form. Chelsea are also a bit low, but expect to have more chances for winning that the Southampton has for a win or draw. Expect 1-2

Burnley Leicester - X. The 2 teams are too alike in their results this year, but also in form. A draw is favorable to take, given the good odds. Expect 1-1

Crystal Palace Brighton 1. Crystal has the edge this game because: 1. their stats is better; 2. they play at home; 3. Brighton this season managed to score only 0.5 goals per game while playing away, suggesting they play very bad when away. Expect 2-1

Swansea Everton X. It can go in favor for Swansea as they have an small edge here, but I think the non-football of Everton will conclude the draw. Expect 1-1

Best of luck.

AlienSquare

[AlienSquare]

Profit was in average for the last weekend's games (+18% per bet).
Still, after some time of small increases this round, was very good increasing the overall bank value.
I took Chelsea, Man Utd away, Leicester and Watford X, and have lost on Liverpool.
Last 4 games are:
Arsenal and City to win, and Draw for the last 2.

Best of luck.
AlienSquare

[AlienSquare]

This round I am taking Liverpool, United, Newcastle and City to win. A draw for Southampton and Crystal.

Strategy I am using is explained here: https://youtu.be/-d1ciNEbxLI

[Firkinelle]

So you're now selling your "system"

[AlienSquare]

Yes, at a 5th of the profit that it got.
Unfortunately, it is not possible to make more money by myself as bookmakers are limiting the accounts which are profitable over time, so I must extend this to the community as a low price, to cover the investment with statistics, and work.

Tool for testing bookmakers overound, converting odds from decimal to fractional and vice-versa, testing multiple selections and profitability of systems described here: https://youtu.be/cyrcRHCEG6Q
I know that some of this info could be found online, but I wanted to have a quick and easy tool with good explanations as a reference.
This was build by myself to be used, but if its useful to you, leave a comment and I will be happy to share it. No additional work is needed to maintain it, and no money charged

Good luck!

[Firkinelle]

Looking at the Rules of the Forum there comes a few little things which you have breached.

No selling / plugging of anything whatsoever either on the forum or by private message.
We want our forum to be a place people can come and chill out & not be spammed with crap of any kind.


Each member has 3 strikes...
1. If you break the rules, you will be referred to the rules & asked nicely to abide by them.
2. Should you break them again, you will be banned for a month.
3. Break them after that & you will receive a permanent ban.

However...
Anyone who spams within 10 posts will be banned permanently with no warning.


As you have posted only 6 times. I think you are very lucky to still be a member here. Watch your step or else you might find it's goodbye time.

[custard]

Nothing changes, does it ?

[mark]

LOL - Brilliant

[BettingKing]

The position of the teams I consider a bit, now near to the end of the season. But not so much, because if a team is playing bad there is nothing they can do against a team that is playing good football.
Regarding the number of matches, I use last 10 years. From the end of the season till the begining of next, we have a small gap but it does not matter much. Why? Because a team like City, or Arsenal, or Crystal will manage to play "about the same". What I mean, is that the error i think will be small, and system will readjust after first 10 rounds, anyway.
Last round I got 2% profit in average per each game

For the round in premier league, will give 4/10 games predictions:

Southampton Chelsea - 2. Southampton is playing very bad at home, and currently they are in a low form. Chelsea are also a bit low, but expect to have more chances for winning that the Southampton has for a win or draw. Expect 1-2

Burnley Leicester - X. The 2 teams are too alike in their results this year, but also in form. A draw is favorable to take, given the good odds. Expect 1-1

Crystal Palace Brighton 1. Crystal has the edge this game because: 1. their stats is better; 2. they play at home; 3. Brighton this season managed to score only 0.5 goals per game while playing away, suggesting they play very bad when away. Expect 2-1

Swansea Everton X. It can go in favor for Swansea as they have an small edge here, but I think the non-football of Everton will conclude the draw. Expect 1-1

Best of luck.

AlienSquare

Thanks a lot, it is interesting to read your strategy!