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Thread: Premier League football strategy

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    Default Premier League football strategy

    Hi guys,

    I am happy to share with you the success for bettin in Premier League. This is part of a strategy I am using to calculate team's current form and apply with historical results and old/current bookemaker's odds.

    The last round I was able to pin poin 8/10 correct results. I only bet 1X2 with small adjustments.

    My stakes multiplied by 2 last round, and during 3-4 rounds I started with 12E and now have 38E. I am confident that this is a long term successful strategy.

    I will share my pickings here in advance (if the post if approved, of course).

    Best of luck,
    AlienSquare

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    Blasphemer Firkinelle's Avatar
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    Be good to see a nice long term strategy. Do you bear in mind the number of games played etc ?
    When I die and they lay me to rest,
    I'm gonna get pissed with Georgie Best

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    Quote Originally Posted by Firkinelle View Post
    Be good to see a nice long term strategy. Do you bear in mind the number of games played etc ?
    What do you mean exactly by number of games?

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    Blasphemer Firkinelle's Avatar
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    Whether it's the beginning of the season when there's no form to go on or the end of the season when a bottom team has more to play for than a middle of the table team who can't win or lose anything.
    When I die and they lay me to rest,
    I'm gonna get pissed with Georgie Best

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    Quote Originally Posted by Firkinelle View Post
    Whether it's the beginning of the season when there's no form to go on or the end of the season when a bottom team has more to play for than a middle of the table team who can't win or lose anything.
    The position of the teams I consider a bit, now near to the end of the season. But not so much, because if a team is playing bad there is nothing they can do against a team that is playing good football.
    Regarding the number of matches, I use last 10 years. From the end of the season till the begining of next, we have a small gap but it does not matter much. Why? Because a team like City, or Arsenal, or Crystal will manage to play "about the same". What I mean, is that the error i think will be small, and system will readjust after first 10 rounds, anyway.
    Last round I got 2% profit in average per each game

    For the round in premier league, will give 4/10 games predictions:

    Southampton Chelsea - 2. Southampton is playing very bad at home, and currently they are in a low form. Chelsea are also a bit low, but expect to have more chances for winning that the Southampton has for a win or draw. Expect 1-2

    Burnley Leicester - X. The 2 teams are too alike in their results this year, but also in form. A draw is favorable to take, given the good odds. Expect 1-1

    Crystal Palace Brighton 1. Crystal has the edge this game because: 1. their stats is better; 2. they play at home; 3. Brighton this season managed to score only 0.5 goals per game while playing away, suggesting they play very bad when away. Expect 2-1

    Swansea Everton X. It can go in favor for Swansea as they have an small edge here, but I think the non-football of Everton will conclude the draw. Expect 1-1

    Best of luck.

    AlienSquare

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